Faith groups use election scenarios to prepare spiritually, mentally for what’s next

Added the Rev. Thia Reggio, whose New York church is also planning a neighborhood peace walk in January before the inauguration: "We’ve recommitted ourselves to our ministries, to the groups we identified at high risk, and have begun to develop plans for how those ministries will look depending on election outcomes."

Chris Crawford, policy strategist for Protect Democracy, an anti-authoritarian nonpartisan group, said he has worked with about 20 faith-based groups, including interfaith groups such as Interfaith America, since January to prepare for the election, helping them consider what role they could have in keeping the peace and ensuring everyone who wishes to vote has that opportunity.

"I was surprised at how many people were interested in this," said Crawford of the mostly online training. "I think in some ways they might even find it comforting to come face to face with some of the most anxiety-inducing outcomes that we could have to know that they’ve thought about it and know that there are other people thinking about it."

Speaking primarily to nonpartisan nonprofit faith organizations focused on democracy and voting rights, Crawford has described a variety of scenarios, from a Pennsylvania voting campaign that results in so many voters lining up in a heavily Republican county that it runs out of ballots, to a deepfake video that shows an Arizona county election official’s plans to guarantee a Democratic presidential win.

Crawford said he provides resources to faith leaders on the center right but, as far as scenario planning, "within the conservative religious leaders who I’ve talked to, this has not been something that they’re interested in as one of the tools to prepare for the election."

After some Protect Democracy sessions, leaders of religious groups have become advocates for poll chaplains or peacekeepers at voting centers; others have sought to build connections with election officials, such as by attending pre-election testing of equipment used to scan and tabulate election results. For T’ruah, a nonpartisan Jewish human rights organization, planning ahead for possible election outcomes was not new for the organization, but took on a new urgency after the 2020 election.

"Jan. 6 hadn’t yet happened," the organization’s CEO, Rabbi Jill Jacobs, noted. "When we were preparing for the 2020 election, we kind of were worried about violence in the abstract. Now, we’re a lot more worried about it in the specifics."

But Jacobs added: "The ideal thing is we’ve spent a lot of time preparing for something that you then don’t have to worry about."

Beyond the online preparatory discussions, T’ruah has encouraged its members, which total 2,300 rabbis of different denominations, to sign up to be poll workers inside voting centers or to go through a training by Faiths United to Saved Democracy to serve as poll chaplains outside.

Jeanné Lewis, CEO of Faith in Public Life, said her nonprofit multiracial and multifaith coalition gathered in July with Crawford and other partners to discuss election scenarios. Since then, affiliated leaders of numerous faiths have included lessons from those scenarios as they train people in a "peacemakers program" to speak to their congregations and the media to "advance a narrative around peace in this election."

T’ruah and Faith in Public Life officials say they also are concerned about inaccurate election information and how to dispel it.

"There are trusted experts that faith leaders can validate around information," Lewis said. "What is the board of elections saying? What is the secretary of state saying? What is the Department of Justice saying? So there are agencies, entities, trusted messengers that faith leaders can amplify and can validate."

At Arlington Presbyterian Church in Virginia, just six miles over the Potomac River from the White House, some congregants have stayed after worship service to read and reflect on different scenarios. A 12-page document includes possibilities of government shutdowns, another pandemic and job insecurity for federal workers. But it also looks at possible local consequences such as Gov. Glenn Youngkin stepping up restrictions on trans youth or efforts to "police immigrant communities."

"We do not want to limit our planning for the most optimistic or most likely outcome, but to ensure our plans are robust enough for any outcome," reads the first page of the church’s scenarios document.

The Rev. Ashley Goff, pastor of Arlington Presbyterian, said the "Day 1 Guide" was the catalyst for her congregation to pursue its own set of scenarios, which they have discussed together and prayed over, including about the risk-taking that may be necessary.

"If this was a Mitt Romney-Harris election, we probably would not be running these scenarios, but because of the gravity of this election and the possibility of a Trump victory, and the impact that that victory could have on our neighbors — and us — that’s why we’re running these scenarios," she said.

For a Harris win, said the Rev. Carla Gorrell, a retired minister who worships at the Arlington church, "that scenario points out that there is very likely to be a lot of pushback from her agenda, her goals, from Congress."

With concerns about racism, xenophobia and homophobia, Gorrell said, "that backlash may happen even stronger to a Harris administration. So the same needs — to seek justice and to support communities who are more vulnerable — will still be there."

As is the case for other faith-based organizations, prayers are part of the church’s scenario considerations, Gorrell said, for whatever congregations might do – from protesting to attending county board meetings to providing support for communities who may need assistance after the election results are known.

Gorrell, a self-described "political junkie" who lived and worked through other times of turmoil, including Watergate and the Reagan assassination attempt, said she’s looking forward to a decision after all the discussion of what might occur.